Project description
The Paris agreement aims to hold global mean temperature (GMT) increase at well below 2C, with efforts to limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.
In your report, you will explore how these limits came to be determined, and what are the implications globally of 1.5C and 2C increases in GMT. Your report should discuss the differences, in terms of impacts of these two temperature limits. Under 1.5C and 2C GMT increase scenarios, which countries have the most to loose and which counties might actually benefit? You should also explore the feasibility of limiting GMT increase to 1.5C or 2C.
This is a research report, so you will need to support your arguments with examples from peer reviewed scientific literature. The attached paper by Schleussner et al. (2016) should provide a good starting point for your research. You will also be expected to refer to the most recent IPCC report (AR5) and at least 6 published peer reviewed research articles. Use the Harvard (Author Year) reference style. Figures are encouraged, but no more than 3.
The word limit is 1200, you will be penalised for exceeding the word limit.
Main Reference:
Schleussner, C.-F., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Lissner, T., Licker, R., Fischer, E. M., Knutti, R., Levermann, A., Frieler, K. and Hare, W.: Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal, Nature Climate Change, 6(9), 827835, doi:10.1038/nclimate3096, 2016.
Useful links:
http://bigpicture.unfccc.int/#content-the-paris-agreemen
IPCC AR5: https://ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf
http://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_summary.php
http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/327/2016/esd-7-327-2016.pdf
IPCC: https://www.ipcc.ch/index.htm
https://ipcc.ch/news_and_events/docs/factsheets/FS_what_ipcc.pdf
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v534/n7609/full/nature18307.html
http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/sb/eng/inf01.pdf
http://www.nature.com/news/the-maximum-climate-ambition-needs-a-firm-research-backing-1.20687
http://springerplus.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40064-016-3235-9
http://reason.org/files/assessing_paris_agreement_climate_change.pdf
Structure:
(1200words)
Harvard style referencing, use in-text citations. 3 figures.
1.Introduction
(A brief paragraph introducing the problem and providing any important background information)
2.1.5C and 2C limits
(Paris Agreement)
(Review of how these limits came to be determined. IPCC report 2015) (The differences, in terms of impacts of these two temperature limits.) *give examples of peer-reviewed research and studies
3.Winners and losers
(Discussion of countries that will likely benefit)
(Discussion of countries that will likely suffer adverse impacts)
4. Evaluation of Feasibility
(Discussion on the feasibility of achieving 1.5C and 2C targets)
5.Conclusion
(Brief paragraph summarising the main points of your report)
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