Financial portfolio analysis

 

Financial portfolio analysis

 

With 2,000,000 British pounds, there are many companies in which the money can be invested in. The investment decision is to be done according to the level of return expected from each investment. I decided to settle on six sectors as components of my portfolio. These include real estate, land, transportation, equity, banking instruments and construction materials. According to Nelson & Quick (2008), the behavior of a company should be considered when considering an investment in it.

Real Estate and land sectors

I chose to invest in Great Portland Estates for the purpose of benefiting from the land and real-estate transactions of the company. This company involved in the management of land real estate interests of clients all over the world. I chose this company because it has been performing pretty well.

Investment in the real estate industry is usually faced with various challenges. One of the challenges is that sometimes the prices of the real estate products fall at a very alarming rate leaving the investor with a very large loss. Despite this challenge, I had to go ahead with the investment since I am usually ready to take up risk. I usually believe that so as to make it in business, it is important to accept some level of risk. It is important to note that the high risk ventures are usually the most profitable ones.

I allocated £800,000 of the total amount available for investment in this company so that I may be able to acquire over 1,300 shares whose value stands at 575. The share prices of the company show that it is performing well. This is as indicated by the share price table indicated below.

Share price analysis

Last Change Bid Ask Volume Updated
575.00 0.70% 575.00 576.00 270181 13:48:27

My decision to invest in this company was also based on the performance of the company as indicated in its financial statements.

I relied a lot in the ratio analysis of the company. Ratio analysis since it is one of the best tools for company analysis (Moyer, McGeehan, & Kretlow, 2009)

Great Portland Estates
Group income statement
For the year ended 31 March 2012
£m £m
Total revenue 57.9 73.6
Net rental income 346.4 63.7
Joint venture fee income 5.6 4.1
Rental and joint venture fee income 52 67.8
Property expenses -6.3 -4
Net rental and related income 45.7 63.8
Administration expenses -19.9 -17.3
Operating profit before surplus on investment property and results of joint ventures 25.8 46.5
Surplus from investment property 97.2 131.3
Share of results of joint ventures 50 97.9
Operating profit 173 275.7
Finance income 5.1 2.2
Finance costs -21.4 -13.8
Charge on 2010 cancellation of derivatives -1.5 -3.1
Profit before tax 155.2 261
Tax -0.9
Profit for the year 155.2 260.1
Basic and diluted earnings per share 50.2 83.8
EPRA earnings per share 5.6 16
All results are derived from continuing operations in the United Kingdom.
Great Portland Estates

Balance Sheet

As at 31 March 2012
2012 2011
£m £m
Fair value movement on derivatives in joint venture in effective hedging relationships 2.1 2
Charge on 2010 cancellation of derivatives 1.5 3.1
Actuarial gain/(deficit) on defined benefit scheme 0.4 -0.2
Net profit recognized directly in equity 4 4.9
Profit for the year 155.2 260.1
Total comprehensive income and expense for the year 159.2 265
Noncurrent assets
Investment property                                                                     1,366.0 1,049.5
Investment in joint ventures                                                     538.2        449.8
Plant and equipment                                                           0.9             1.2
Pension asset                                                                        0.4               –
                                                                                         1,905.5  1,500.5
Current assets
Trade and other receivables                                            54.2        21.7
Cash and cash equivalents                                              4.0          3.0
                                                                                         58.2      24.7
Total assets                                                               1,963.7 1,525.2
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables                                                     186.7     31.5
Corporation tax payable                                                         –           0.1
               Total                                                                       186.7 31.6
Non-current liabilities
Interest-bearing loans and borrowings                               507.4      352.1
Obligations under finance leases                                          31.3       28.5
Pension liability                                                                                    0.3
                                                                                               538.7  380.9
Total liabilities                                                                      725.4  412.5
Net ass                                                                              1,238.3 1,112.7
Equity
Share capital                                                                          39.1    39.1
Share premium account                                                     218.1     218.1
Hedging reserve –                                                                            (1.5)
Capital redemption reserve                                                     16.4  16.4
Retained earnings                                                                976.2  844.6
Investment in own shares                                                    (11.5)  (4.0)
Total equity                                                                   1,238.3   1,112.7
Liquidity ratios

I had to come up with the liquidity measure of the company. This is because I wanted to invest in a company whose liquidity was good. As per the financial statements of the company, the liquidity of the Great Portland Estates is good. Therefore, investing in this company is a brilliant idea. This is because the company’s performance would not be affected by inability to pay for its short term financial obligations. If the current assets of a company are able to pay for short-term obligations, then it is safe to invest (Analoui & Karami, 2003).

Current ratio

This is the measure of the capability of the company to pay for its financial obligations through relying on its current assets. This is derived by dividing the company’s current assets by its current liabilities.

Therefore, the current ratio of the company for the year 2012 =1963.7/186.7=10.51

A current ratio of 10.51 means that the company is able to pay for its short-term financial statements comfortably.

From the financial statements, the profitability of the company is seen to be good. I arrived at this position after calculating the gross profit margin of the company.

The gross profit margin is given by

 

The gross profit margin of The Great Portland Estates=25.8/57.9=0.44=44%

With a profit margin of 44%, the company will be able to give me good returns on my investment. This will ensure that from the good profitability of the company, I will be able to get good amount of money.

From the balance sheet, the company seems to be having better standing with regards to the retained earnings experienced. The company’s retained earnings as at 31st march 2012 went higher to 976.2 from 844.6. This shows that the company is getting better in terms of performance. This made me get confidence in investing in this company.

Transportation Sector

The transportation industry is the other component of my portfolio. I decided to invest £300,000 in this component of my portfolio. I chose this level of amount because the transportation industry is not diversified enough to reduce the risk of inactivity in the business activities.

I decided to involve myself in this industry through Globaltrans. Globaltrans is one of the largest transportation companies listed in the London Stock exchange. The company has been able to offer the best freight rail transportation services in Russia. The company’s good performance has enabled it to be quoted in the London Stock exchange. I chose this company because it has been able to receive worldwide acceptance. This means that its performance will be able to assure me good returns on my investment. The fact that the company has a strong client base of blue chip corporate bodies is an indicator of good performance. This means that it will be very hard for the company to lack business transactions. It also suggests that I will be able to benefit from the voluminous nature of the transactions engaged in.

As indicated by some key statistics for the company, the figures for the company are impressive. The increased number of fleets is an indicator of a growing company. Additionally, the revenue of the company seems to be increasing reassonably since the year 2009.

  2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Adjusted Revenue* 413.4 779.4 685.3 903.0 1,149.5 1,322.0
Adjusted EBITDA* 177.4 345.2 284.5 390.9 505.1 658.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin* 43% 44% 42% 43% 44% 50%
Profit for the period 92.7 142.6 121.2 225.9 317.2 311.6
Freight Rail Turnover (bn t-km) 61.0 78.5 80.9 97.4 110.6 137.8
Total Fleet (units, EoP) 25,494 35,284 37,217 50,714 47,580 61,935
Incl. Owned Fleet (units, EoP) 21,590 30,824 32,384 38,173 39,910 58,501
Looking at the data below, the company’s asset base seems to be increasing since the year 2007. This means that there is hope that the company is getting more stable in subsequent years. This means that my investment in this company will be able to give me assurance that I would not lose as a result of the company’s instability.

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
IFRS financial information (USD mln)
Revenue 605.0 1,445.0 1,163.4 1,382.7 1,733.1 2,114.3
Operating profit 145.0 288.4 229.1 329.4 432.0 536.5
Profit for the period 92.7 142.6 121.2 225.9 317.2 311.6
Total assets 957.7 1,231.4 1,265.0 1,515.3 1,467.8 2,949.8
Total debt 546.6 497.7 449.1 519.0 379.1 1,075.1
Non-GAAP financial information (USD mln)
Adjusted Revenue 413.4 779.4 685.3 903.0 1,149.5 1,322.0
Adjusted EBITDA 177.4 345.2 284.5 390.9 505.1 658.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 43% 44% 42% 43% 44% 50%
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio 2.9x 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 0.5x 1.4x

Construction

I decided to invest £400,000 Orascom Construction Industries in about 1000 shares. This is one of the best performing companies listed in the London Stock Exchange. My decision to put my money in this company was first motivated by the company’s share price.

Year-to-date position

Year high 45.06
Year high date 12 Aug 2013
Year low 25.87
Year low date 24 Jun 2013

Latest Share Price 38.40
Last close 38.40
Last update 4 Dec 2013 18:15
Last trade time 2 Dec 2013 14:30

As seen from the above information, the company’s share price rose by £19.19 from 25.87 to 45.06. This is a huge increase in the prices of the company shares meaning that the company is experiencing good performance and profitability. The rising prices of the company shares mean that many people are interested in investing in the company. This means that the prices will keep on getting higher as demand for the shares increases. With the latest share price position outstanding at 38.40 British pounds, the company shows a stable trend in the movement of its share prices.

The extracts below from the audited financial results of the company were able to give me an opportunity to find out more about the company.

Summary of Consolidated Results for Q4 2012:

From the consolidated financial statements, the consolidated revenue for the company went up by 5.3%. The amounts in US dollars rose from US$ 1,418.4 million to US$ 1,492.9 million .This shows that the company is making more money than before.

Orascom Construction Industries
Consolidated Income Statement 
Q4 2012 ended 31 December 2012
Q4 2012 Q42011
    US$ millions     US$ millions     US$ millions
   Total revenue 1,492.90 1,418.40
    Cost of construction and goods sold -1,120.90 -1,015.40
    Gross profit 372 403
    Selling, General and administrative expenses -71.6 -60.9
    Other operating income (expenses) -12.3 18.6
    Provisions 2.1 -19.7
    Income from operations 111.3 271
    EBITDA 290.2 341
    Depreciation -79.7 -70
    Goodwill impairment -99.2
    Interest income -12 0.6
    Interest expense -153.4 -67.2
    Foreign exchange gain (loss) 16.8 2.2
    Net financing cost -148.6 -64.4
    Income from investments 4.6 -49.4
    Income before taxes & minority interest -32.7 157.2
    Income taxes -46.7 -59.2
    Income before minority interest -79.4 98
    Minority Interest -1.8 -18.9
    Net income before discontinued operations -81.2 79.1
    Discontinued operations 45.3
    Net income after discontinued operations -81.2 124.4
    Net income -81.2 124.4

From the above consolidated income statement for the company, it is evident that the companies total revenue for the latest quarter is higher than that of the previous year. It is worth noting that the company has a loss for the latest year. I decided to invest in this company despite the negative results since I am aware that the industries costs had gone up unexpectedly. This means that the cost of goods sold at the same level had to go up. For example, the cost of construction and goods sold rose from 1015.40 to 1120.90. This means that this rise reduced the level of profitability. With the increased level of total revenue, the company will be able to purchase the construction materials in bulk thus reducing the cost involved.

Additionally, the company has a positive gross profit margin of 25%. I obtained this from dividing the gross profit by the revenue of the company.

Gross profit margin of Orascom Construction Industries= 372/1,492.90=0.25

Orascom Construction industries

Consolidated Balance Sheet 

 As at 31 December 2012

2012                         2011                                                                                          ASSETS

Non-current assets

Property, plant, and equipment                                     2,252.70                          2,195.90

Assets under construction                                               1,241.00                          1,302.60

Payments for purchase of investments                                 0.60                                      –

Other long term assets                                                        71.30                               43.70

Investment in associated companies                                   70.20                               68.50

Investments available for sale                                             66.20                               64.70

Long term receivables                                                       105.00                               95.00

Deferred income taxes                                                          4.60                                 1.90

Goodwill                                                                        1,741.40                          1,831.50

Total non-current assets                                                 5,553.00                          5,603.80

Current assets

Inventories                                                                        399.60                             369.40

Trade and other receivables                                          2,001.20                          2,117.60

Investment in marketable securities                              1,213.70                               17.30

Assets held for sale                                                          375.40                             497.20

Cash and cash equivalents                                             1,018.20                          1,235.10

Due from clients                                                               508.90                             452.40

Total current assets                                                        5,517.00                          4,689.00

Total assets                                                                   11,070.00                          10,292.80

LIABILITIES

Non-current liabilities

Long-term loans                                                             2,243.40                           2,391.10

Deferred income taxes                                                           297.50                              257.70

Long-term provisions                                                             561.40                              246.10

Other long-term liabilities                                                       115.10                              143.60

Total non-current liabilities                                                  3,217.40                           3,038.50

Current liabilities

Trade and other payables                                                     1,813.00                           1,746.80

Due to clients                                                                          172.70                              145.30

Bank overdraft and current portion of long-term loans            73.40                           1,472.00

Income taxes payable                                                             170.20                              154.30

Provisions                                                                               675.10                              150.60

Current liabilities                                                                 5,404.40                           3,669.00

Total liabilities                                                                     8,621.80                           6,707.50

SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY

Share capital                                                                           189.90                              191.60

Legal reserve                                                                            98.30                               98.30

Other reserves                                                                       791.30                              789.50

Retained earnings                                                                 1,384.50                           2,542.80

Cumulative adjustment on transaction of foreign entities       (99.10)                             (93.30)

Treasury shares                                                                        (89.30)                             (81.70)

Hedge reserves                                                                        (17.30)                             (63.80)

Total shareholders’ equity                                                    2,258.30                           3,383.40

Minority interest in subsidiary companies                              189.90                              201.90

Total equity                                                                          2,448.20                           3,585.30

Total liabilities and equity                                                11,070.00                           10,292.80

From the balance sheet extract shown above, I was able to get the information regarding the company’s worth. From the balance sheet above, the company got stronger in the year 2012 with the asset base increasing by 778 million. This was a rise from 10,292.80 to 11,070.00. This shows that the company is able to create more asset sets. This means that if the company is able to get more assets, then there is a good chance for the company to succeed.   Additionally, the amount due from clients increased to 508.90 from 452.40. This shows that the clients are willing to get more products from the company. This shows a growth in the customer base indicating that the company is getting more of the market share which is good for good performance.

From the balance sheet, I was able to learn that the company has the ability to pay for its short-term financial obligations comfortably. I learnt this after calculating the current asset ratio.

Current ratio of Orascom Construction Industries= 5,517/5,404.40=1.02

It is worth noting that a company whose current ratio equals or is above 1 is usually in good for investment purposes.

Bank instruments

I had to allocate 300,000 in Westpac Group. I allocated this amount of money since I had decided to hold 1,000 capital notes of Westpac Group whose face value is $100. One thing that motivated my investment in this area included the dividend history of the Group. Dividend payments usually give a good reflection of the state of affairs of a company (Longenecker, 2009).

This is well explained in the information below

Dividend payment history

Payment date Rate Franking level  New Zealand imputation credits DRP*  DBP** 
Dividends paid on Westpac ordinary shares NZ $ per share Prices paid on shares
02/07/2013 – special dividend 10 cents Full franked @ 30% $0.009 $28.94 n/a
02/07/2013 86 cents Fully franked @ 30% $0.08 $28.94 n/a
20/12/2012 84 cents Fully franked @ 30% $0.08 $24.86 n/a
02/07/2012 82 cents Fully franked @ 30% $0.08 $20.38 n/a
19/12/2011 80 cents Fully franked @ 30% There are no prior numbers. $20.32 n/a

From the information shown above, the amount paid on each share shows a positive movement since the year 2011. As from the year 2011, the prices increases from 20.32 to the latest dividend paid which are 28.94. This shows that I will be able to benefit from the regular and growing dividend paid by the company. Companies whose dividend payments are regular and growing are the best for investment (Monks & Lajoux, 2011).

To settle on this company, I had to look at the following figures which were able to reflect the nature of business in the Group.

2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Customer
Total customers (millions)2 11.8 11.5 11.3 10.6 6.9
Total online customers – active registrations (millions)3 4.0 3.7 3.4 4.3 3.3
Number of points of bank representation 1,538 1,532 1,517 1,491 1,089
Number of ATMs 3,639 3,544 3,625 3,540 2,285

The increase in customers, ATMs and bank appearances as shown above encouraged me more to invest in the company.

Westpac Group

Balance Sheet

As at September 2012

   2012  2011  2010  2009  2008
Loans 514,445 496,609 477,655 463,459 313,545
Other assets 160,520 173,619 140,622 126,128 126,131
Total assets 674,965 670,228 618,277 589,587 439,676
Deposits 394,991 370,278 337,385 329,456 233,730
Debt issues and acceptances 147,847 165,931 150,971 133,024 100,369
Loan capital 9,537 8,173 9,632 11,138 8,718
Other liabilities 76,371 82,038 80,171 79,398 77,388
Total liabilities 628,746 626,420 578,159 553,016 420,205

 

From the balance sheet above, the increase in assets from the year 2008 up to date encouraged me to invest in the company.

 

 

 

 

 

References

Analoui, F. & Karami, A. (2003). Strategic Management in Small and Medium Enterprises. London: Thomson Learning.

Longenecker, J. G. (2009). Business management: Launching and growing new ventures. Toronto: Nelson Education.

Monks, A. & Lajoux, R. (2011). Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment: Analyzing Assets, Earnings, John Wiley & Sons.

Moyer, C., McGuigan, R., & Kretlow, J. (2009). Contemporary financial management. Mason, OH: South-Western/Cengage Learning.

Nelson, D. L., & Quick, J. C. (2008). Understanding organizational behavior. Mason, OH, USA: Thomson/South-Western.

 

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